Proceedings of the
European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2026)
14 – 19 June 2026, Braga, Portugal

Computational risk assessment framework for a High Temperature Electrolysis Facility powered by Nuclear Power and exposed to seismic hazard

Stefano Marchetti

Energy Department, Politecnico di Milano, Milano 20156, Italy.

stefano.marchetti@polimi.it

Systems Risk and Reliability (SyRRA) Lab, Center for Risk and Reliability, Reliability Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, 20742, MD, USA.

smarchet@umd.edu

Francesco Di Maio

Energy Department, Politecnico di Milano, Milano 20156, Italy.

francesco.dimaio@polimi.it

Samantha E. Wismer

Systems Risk and Reliability (SyRRA) Lab, Center for Risk and Reliability, Reliability Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, 20742, MD, USA.

swismer@umd.edu

Katrina M. Groth

Systems Risk and Reliability (SyRRA) Lab, Center for Risk and Reliability, Reliability Engineering, University of Maryland, College Park, 20742, MD, USA.

kgroth@umd.edu

Enrico Zio

MINES Paris-PSL, Centre de Recherche sur les Risques et les Crises (CRC), Sophia Antipolis, France.

enrico.zio@minesparis.psl.eu

Energy Department, Politecnico di Milano, Milano 20156, Italy.

enrico.zio@polimi.it

ABSTRACT

High Temperature Electrolysis Facilities (HTEFs) powered by Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) can provide a costefficient way for large-scale production of clean hydrogen. As safety needs to be evaluated, in this paper we present a computational risk assessment framework for the resulting integrated system. Monte Carlo Simulation with Importance Sampling (MCS-IS) is used for the generation of scenarios that may occur from the coupling of HTEFs and NPPs. An application is shown with reference to a preliminary design of an integrated hydrogen production system in which the steam and electric power produced by a NPP are supplied to the HTEF. The HTEF and NPP system of systems is assumed to be located in a region where potential seismic activity cannot be excluded. Results show that overcurrent events leading to a Loss of Heat Sink (LHS) are the main contributors to risk.

Keywords: High Temperature Electrolysis Facility (HTEF), Nuclear Power Plant (NPP), Computational risk assessment, Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS), Importance Sampling (IS).



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